Overview

Updated 24 Jul 2026
Tracking 3 open threads

A neutral, evidence-based tracker of Tonga's role in deep-sea mineral exploration — spanning its ISA-sponsored TOML contract, the 2026 US research partnership, and the diverging positions of Pacific governments and civil society. Every figure below links to its primary source.

Where the three storylines stand

Sentiment gap

US–Tonga Research Partnership

From Executive Order 14285 to the February 2026 seabed-research cooperation announcement.

TOML Exploration & ISA Status

Contract terms, exploitation-licence status, legal disputes, Mining Code progress, and the parallel US permit route.

ISA Regulatory Vote Timeline

Council and Assembly decisions on the Mining Code and moratorium proposals, 2021–2026.

DateBodyEventOutcome

Pacific Moratorium Bloc

Country-by-country positions, PIF communiqué evolution, and the NGOs pushing for a pause.

Country positions

Pursuing mining

Pacific Islands Forum communiqué evolution

Key civil-society organizations

OrganizationActivity

US State Department — Critical Minerals Press Releases

Statements referencing critical-mineral supply chains, the Pacific, and seabed resources.

Sentiment Monitor

Tongan government policy statements versus Civil Society Forum of Tonga (CSFT) positions.

CSFT survey (2024, n=385)

Awareness gaps

Parliament debate (Jul 2025)

Government vs. civil society, statement by statement

Notable voices

Analyst summary